United States Coffee Stock Levels Tied to Prices

US coffee stocks declined for the fourth consecutive month in March to 6,016,272 bags, reflecting roasters' sensitivity to market prices and a shift in repository preference towards European warehouses.

Export Pace Slowed but in Comparison to Exceptional Shipments Prior Year

Coffee exports are down from last year, but the market doesn't seem to be reflecting tighter supplies. Buyers turned to other origins to cover market needs.

Growth Cycle and PredictionEngine Model Showcased on Taka Insights

Let us explain how Taka Insight’s PredictionEngine adds unique value for coffee buyers, traders and sellers

The Impact of Bank Instability on Coffee Market Trends and Decision-Making

Turbulent times on the financial markets after the colapse of SVB and trouble surrounding Credit Suisse. Are we out of the woodworks for the commodity markets?

Global Coffee Export Pace Slows: Producers Holding Back or Weaker Demand?

There has been a slowdown in the trade flow of coffee. There could be multiple reasons, not necessarily the common thinking that supplies are tight at origin due to production shortfalls. We explore various factors in this article.

Certified Coffee Stocks in Focus Again

At the present time, there are very few bags pending grading at ICE futures US for certifying coffee to be put in Exchange warehouses in various ports in the USA and Europe.

Trade flows start to slow

Coffee exports dropped by one million bags last month, impacted by political instability, reduced availability, and currency factors.

CONAB Optimistic about 2023/24 Coffee Crop Recovery

Brazil's CONAB forecasts a 14.4% increase in Arabica coffee production for 2023/24, despite the biennial cycle's negative year, due to recovery from frosts and drought; however, Robusta output is expected to decline by 3.8%.

Colombian Production Continues to Show Negative Impact from Too Much Rain

Colombia's coffee production hit its lowest December level since 2012/13 due to La Niña-related weather, resulting in firm differentials, increased imports, and shipment delays, potentially leading to a disappointing main harvest.

Global Exports Jumped in November.

November 2022 global coffee exports rose to 10.243 million bags, driven by higher Brazilian Naturals and Robusta shipments, but were still below the November 2020 level of 10.56 million bags.

Brazilian Coffee Exports Following Seasonal Pattern

Brazilian coffee exports in November increased YoY to 3.673 million bags, driven by higher Arabica exports, while Robusta exports lagged due to increased local consumption; December exports follow seasonal patterns.

Export Data Spotlight on Honduras.

September coffee exports dropped to 9.946 million bags YoY, with total 2021/22 season exports at 128.986 million bags; Honduran exports fell due to labor shortages and infrastructure issues from previous hurricanes.

The importance of Differentials Featured on Taka Insights

Read more about how the Taka Insights differentials tool can help you in your day-to-day business.

Increased Exports from Several Origins Helped to Fill Gaps in the 2021/22 Season

Exports from different origins have increased. Click here to read more.

Coffee Spreads and Differentials Overshadowing Brazilian Flowering Onset

It is now one year that the NY Arabica has been trading at a price over $2.00 per pound. This is remarkable, as other commodities have seen much of their gains already recede.

CONAB Arabica 2022/23 Crop Estimate Lowered

The Brazilian crop forecasting agency, CONAB, their third of four estimates. To no surprise, the Arabica figure was reduced yet again. Read more here.

Differentials Remain Stubbornly Strong

Over the past several years, differentials for most qualities have been trending higher. Read more to know why.

Brazilian Managed to Export Shy of 40 Million Bags Despite Small Crop

Brazilian Export levels were higher than expected. The market tanked, believing that this signals that production was higher than previously expected. That however is not the entire story.

Coffee Differentials Dynamics and Latest Developments

Coffee differentials or the basis is a simple calculation (cash less futures), but is far more complex than the simple math. This article showcases the dynamics surrounding coffee differentials.

Taka Insights is preparing ICE integration

Taka Insights & ICE: Outpace the competition with the most complete coffee analytics offering yet.

Taka Insights Forecasts Brazil 2023/24 Arabica Crop with PredictionEngine Model

We actively monitor the development of the next Brazilian Arabica coffee. Our daily production prediction model, available to Taka clients, shows the impact from the May 17-21 Frost, which occurred at a record early date.

2023-24 Crop Development Started off on the Wrong Foot

The poor conditions, as presented in our GrowthView product, that contributed to the disappointing fruit set of the 2022/23 crop last October, also impacted ...

United States Coffee Demand Exceeding Pre-pandemic Levels

The Green Coffee Association reported that United States warehouse stocks of green coffee increased by 54,960 bags to 5,820,298 last month.

Who is covering for Brazil and Colombia production shortfalls

With two of the three leading exporting countries having production issues this season, the challenge facing the market is if other smaller producers can compensate for this.

Colombian Weather Lack of Rain Raising Coffee Crop Concerns in Key Regions

Spotlight on the Antioquia and Huila regions of Colombia. They have overlapping but different rainy & dry seasons and therefore variations in flowering & harvest periods.

Judith Ganes on Taka Insights Crop Tour and Preview Predictive Model

A Crop alert was issued for the Matas de Minas region. Vegetative health in this region was in worse conditions compared to other Arabica growing areas in Brazil, which could indicate ...

A Taka Insights Christmas Story

The holidays are a great moment to reflect on what has happened in the past year. And what a year it has been! Two of Taka Insights’ founders are looking back on the start of this great adventure.

Taka Insights and judith ganes launch commodity data analytics platform

We are proud to announce the collaboration with commodity expert Judith Ganes as part of launching our data analytics platform. Get the full story here.

Critical Brazil Arabica Crop Alert Was Identified Early in Remote Sensing Data

Taka Insights found that the vegetation health increasingly fell below the 10-year average starting from May, indicating an underperforming future crop.